Abstract
Background
Objective
Methods
Results
Conclusions
Keywords
Introduction
- Schwarze K.
- Buchanan J.
- Taylor J.C.
- et al.
Methods
Overview
Identifying Challenges for Economic Evaluations of NGS
Delphi Method
- 1.Importance (four-point rating scale from very important to unimportant, including the option to choose “no judgment”);
- 2.Probability of resolution in the next 5 years via methodological consensus (five-point rating scale from very probable to very improbable, including the option to choose “no judgment”).
Structured Literature Review to Identify Published Economic Evaluations and Their Solutions
- 1.empirical economic evaluation (including cost-effectiveness/cost-benefit/budget- impact analyses, but excluding cost/consequence studies that did not calculate a ratio);
- 2.study of clinical use of NGS tests (i.e., we did not include gene expression profiling panels or tests of a single gene or gene pairs such as BRCA1/2); and
- 3.published in English.

- 1.Did the study address any of the identified methodological challenges using a specifically described approach?
- 2.If yes, what challenge was addressed and what solution was used?
Results
Challenges in Conducting Economic Evaluations of NGS Tests
Study questions and model structure |
Complex model structure: Modeling multiple pathways, results, and testing uses (as a result of multiple genes being tested); may include modeling potential interactive effects (e.g., of life expectancy across multiple conditions) |
Time frame: Modeling upstream (e.g., equipment purchase) and downstream (e.g., recurring testing and storage costs) costs and outcomes specific to NGS when relevant; may include potential savings if doing test upfront with later use of results |
Secondary findings: Incorporating possibility of secondary findings and their impact (positive and negative) when relevant |
Type of analysis and comparators used: Determining appropriate type of analysis and using approaches other than CEA when relevant; using appropriate comparators that take into account what NGS is being compared with and whether substitution or addition |
Directly attributable outcomes: Identifying costs/outcomes directly attributable to NGS when necessary to parse out |
Measuring costs and outcomes |
Broad measures of patient outcomes: Quantifying range of outcomes for person being tested when relevant (e.g., measuring personal utility to patients because of psychological benefits from having a diagnosis etc.) |
Broad measures of health outcomes beyond person tested: Modeling individual outcomes beyond person being tested when relevant (e.g., modeling impact on family members) |
Broad measures of societal outcomes: Modeling impact beyond patient outcomes (e.g., education and employment) |
Data aggregation: Aggregating data from multiple sources when necessary to measure NGS impact (e.g., combining data from multiple studies) |
Data availability and quality |
Data availability issues: Examining lack of evidence and data variability as relevant to NGS (e.g., prevalence, penetrance, clinical utility, and race-specific inputs) |
Statistical issues: Examining statistical issues as relevant to NGS (e.g., triangulating and integrating data sources and using value of information analysis) |
Study questions and model structure (complex model structure, time frame, secondary findings, type of analysis and comparators used, directly attributable outcomes)
Measuring costs and outcomes (broad measures of patient outcomes/health outcomes beyond person tested/societal outcomes, data aggregation)
Data availability and quality (data availability issues, statistical issues)
Priorities for Addressing Challenges
Top priority challenges to address | Expert working group rationales |
---|---|
Type of analysis and comparators | Why important? |
| |
What is feasible? | |
| |
What is needed? | |
| |
Complex model structure | Why important? |
| |
What is feasible? | |
| |
What is needed? | |
| |
Time frame | Why important? |
| |
What is feasible? | |
| |
What is needed? | |
|
How Studies Have Developed and Applied Solutions to Challenges
Study | Objective | Country | Disease | Test/comparators | Outcome measure | Results summary | Conclusion summary |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bennette et al. [19] | Clinical/economic impact of returning IFs | United States | Cardiomyopathy, colorectal cancer, healthy individuals with genetic FHx | WGS/not disclosing WGS IFs | Cost/QALY |
| Likely cost-effective for certain populations Unlikely cost-effective in general population unless NGS <$500 |
Gallego et al. [20] | Economic evaluation of NGS panels for CRC | United States | Colorectal cancer | NGS panel/current standard of care | Cost/QALY |
| First-line NGS panel (genes associated with highly penetrant CRCP syndromes + Lynch syndrome genes) cost-effective |
Kaimal et al. [26] | Decision-analytic model to assess comprehensive outcomes of prenatal genetic testing strategies among women of varying ages | United States | Fetal aneuploidy | NIPT cell-free DNA/six testing strategies in combination or in sequence | Cost/QALY |
| Multiple-marker screening most cost-effective option for most women younger than 40 y; for older than 40 y, cell-free DNA as primary screen becomes optimally cost-effective |
Li et al. [21] | Is NGS panel (34 genes) for melanoma treatment selection cost-effective? | United States | Metastatic melanoma | NGS panel/single-site BRAF V600 test only | Cost/QALY |
| NGS panel is the dominant strategy over single-site mutation test strategy (reduced costs and increased QALYs) |
Walker et al. [27] | Determine optimum MSS risk cutoff for contingent NIPT | United States | Fetal aneuploidy | Universal NIPT cell-free DNA/MSS and optimized contingent NIPT | Cost/diagnosis |
| Most cost-effective policy depended on perspective; universal NIPT dominated (societal perspective), contingent NIPT dominated (government and payer perspective) |
Compare cost-effectiveness of optimized contingent NIPT to universal NIPT and conventional MSS | |||||||
Azimi et al. [28] | Evaluate cost-effectiveness of carrier screening using NGS vs. genotyping for 14 recessive disorders for which guidelines recommend screening | United States | 14 recessive disorders in carrier screening | NGS panel/genotyping | Cost/LY gained |
| NGS-based carrier screening (most prevalent recessive disorders) cost-effective in averting more affected births, creating more LYs gained, and reducing annual and lifetime treatment costs as compared with genotyping |
Fairbrother et al. [29] | Estimate CEA of fetal aneuploidy screening in general pregnancy population using NIPT vs. FTS with serum markers and NT ultrasound | United States | Fetal aneuploidy | NIPT cell-free DNA/screening using FTS | Cost/diagnosis |
| NIPT in general pregnancy population leads to more prenatal identification of fetal trisomy cases vs. FTS and is more economical at NIPT unit cost of $453 |
Sabatini et al. [23] | Impact of using targeted gene panel in optimizing care for patients with advanced non–small cell lung cancer, use of targeted gene panel in diagnosis and management of patients with sensorineural hearing loss, and exome sequencing in the diagnosis and management of children with neurodevelopmental disorders of unknown genetic etiology | United States | Advanced non–small cell lung cancer, sensorineural hearing loss, and neurodevelopmental disorders of unknown genetic etiology | Targeted gene panel for three conditions/current standard of care | Cost/diagnosis; management, treatment, or intervention mix before and after GSP testing |
| Each model demonstrated value by reducing health care costs or identifying appropriate care pathways, depending on assumptions regarding cost and timing of testing (definition of value differs by clinical scenario) |
Doble et al. [30] | Compare use of MTS to select targeted therapy on the basis of tumor genomic profiles to no further testing (with chemo or with supportive care) in fourth-line treatment of metastatic lung adenocarcinoma | Australia | Metastatic lung adenocarcinoma | MTS/no further testing (chemo or supportive care) | Cost per LY/QALY |
| MTS not cost-effective; VOI analyses reveal reducing decision uncertainty for cost and resource use parameters, testing parameters and clinical transition probabilities have greatest value |
Li et al. [22] | Investigate whether a seven-gene test to identify women who should consider risk-reduction strategies could cost-effectively increase life expectancy | United States | Breast cancer | Seven-gene test (BRCA1, BRCA2, TP53, PTEN, CDH1, STK11, and PALB2)/BRCA1/2 | Cost/QALY |
| Testing seven breast cancer–associated genes, followed by risk-reduction management starting at either age 40 or 50 y, could cost-effectively improve life expectancy |
Saito et al. [31] | To determine CEA of comprehensive molecular profiling before initiating anti-eGFR therapies for metastatic colorectal cancer | Japan | Metastatic colorectal cancer | Comprehensive molecular profiling/RAS mutation screening | Cost/QALY |
| Comprehensive screening more cost-effective than RAS screening |
Schofield et al. [16] | Evaluate economic value for panel or WES of neuromuscular disease | Australia | Neuromuscular disorders | WES and panel/muscle biopsy and protein assays (traditional) | Cost/additional diagnosis |
| Panel most cost-effective and WES second most vs. traditional diagnostic pathway |
Stark et al. [18] | Evaluation of three strategies to include WES in current testing pathway | Australia | Pediatric monogenetic disorders | WES after exhaustive standard investigation | Cost/additional diagnosis |
| Early WES triples diagnostic rate for one-third of cost per diagnosis |
WES to replace most investigations/ standard of care | |||||||
WES to replace some investigations | |||||||
Tan et al. [32] | Investigate impact of WES in sequencing-naive children suspected of having monogenic disorder and evaluate CEA if WES had been available at different time points in diagnostic trajectory | Australia | Monogenic disorders in children | Singleton WES/standard diagnostic pathway (no single-gene or panel testing) | Cost/additional diagnosis |
| Singleton WES in children with suspected monogenic conditions has high diagnostic yield, and CEA is maximized by early application in the diagnostic pathway |
Tsiplova et al. [17] | Comparison of CMA to WES/WGS in autism spectrum disorder | Canada | Autism spectrum disorders | WES, WGS/CMA | Cost/diagnosis (additional positive finding) |
| Incremental cost was >CAD$25,000 per additional positive finding if CMA was replaced by newer technology. Future reductions in material and equipment costs and increased understanding of variants will lead to improved value |
- 1.Bennette et al. [[19]] addressed the challenges of complex model structure, secondary findings, and data aggregation. They addressed the modeling complexities introduced by multiple results and conditions and the challenge of modeling secondary findings. Their approach simplified the research question and model to make them manageable and leveraged existing data to make the analyses feasible. They narrowed the research question by modeling three archetypal groups and seven conditions. They also included only those genes that were previously defined as having clinical utility rather than all possible secondary findings. They then leveraged existing cost-effectiveness analyses when possible rather than creating their own models.Bennette et al. also addressed the challenge of data aggregation by combining data from multiple studies and creating a composite cost-effectiveness ratio. They multiplied the individual-level estimates for costs and quality-adjusted life-years associated with returning a secondary finding by the expected prevalence of identifying and returning those results to estimate the implications of returning secondary findings at the population level.
- 2.Gallego et al. [[20]] addressed the challenge of complex model structure by analyzing hypothetical test scenarios as part of their cost-effectiveness analysis of NGS tests for the diagnosis of colorectal cancer and polyposis symptoms. They noted that tests typically include the most highly penetrant mutations first, but then may expand to include less penetrant mutations. Thus, they analyzed four hypothetical tests in order of increasing effectiveness in which each panel was larger than the previous one because of additional, lower prevalence mutations.
- 3.Doble et al. [[30]] addressed the challenge of statistical issues by using value of information analysis to assess where it would be of greatest value for decision makers to reduce uncertainty, in their cost-effectiveness analysis of multiplex targeted screening to select targeted therapy for fourth-line treatment of metastatic lung adenocarcinoma. They found that such screening was not cost-effective compared with no testing. Nevertheless, by using value of information analysis, they determined that additional research to reduce uncertainty may be a worthwhile investment, specifically that reducing decision uncertainty for cost and resource use parameters, testing parameters, and clinical transition probabilities would have the greatest value.
- 4.Sabatini et al. [[23]] addressed the challenges of data aggregation and the type of analysis and comparators used. They used budget-impact analysis, which is a method that has not been as frequently applied to NGS tests or other tests as cost-effectiveness analysis. They also analyzed three different scenarios. By using these approaches, they addressed what they perceived to be the needs of the relevant decision makers.
Challenges | Studies addressing a specific challenge with a specific solution |
---|---|
Study questions and model structure | |
Complex model structure | Bennette et al. [19] addressed complexities of modeling secondary findings through a targeted modeling approach and incorporating previous cost-effectiveness analyses. |
Gallego et al. [20] analyzed hypothetical panels that included less penetrant mutations to consider how adding these mutations would reduce estimated cost effectiveness, given that panels include most highly penetrant mutations first. | |
Time frame | Studies did not use explicit solutions to address. |
Secondary findings | Bennette et al. [19] focused solely on secondary findings. |
Type of analysis and comparators used | Sabatini et al. [23] used budget-impact analysis and three scenarios to address needs of decision makers. |
Directly attributable outcomes | Studies did not use explicit solutions to address. |
Measuring costs and outcomes | |
Broad measures of patient outcomes | Studies did not use explicit solutions to address. |
Broad measures of health outcomes beyond person tested | Studies did not use explicit solutions to address. |
Broad measures of societal outcomes | Studies did not use explicit solutions to address. |
Data aggregation | Bennette et al. [19] combined data from multiple studies and created a composite cost-effectiveness ratio. |
Sabatini et al. [23] aggregated cost data across laboratories by using representative laboratories and cross-laboratory comparisons. | |
Data availability and quality | |
Data availability issues | Studies did not use explicit solutions to address. |
Statistical issues | Doble et al. [30] used value of information analysis to assess where it would be of greatest value for decision makers to reduce uncertainty. |
Discussion
Study Limitations
- Schwarze K.
- Buchanan J.
- Taylor J.C.
- et al.
- Schwarze K.
- Buchanan J.
- Taylor J.C.
- et al.
Conclusions
Acknowledgment
Supplemental Materials
Supplemental Materials
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Article info
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Footnotes
☆Funding Statement: This study was funded by a grant from the National Human Genome Research Institute (R01 HG007063) and consulting agreement with Illumina (no number).
☆Conflicts of interest: K. A. Phillips received honoraria for serving on a scientific advisory panel and is a paid consultant to Illumina. Disclosures have been reviewed by the University of California San Francisco. K. A. Phillips also received consulting fees from Illumina to support the research conducted for this publication. K. A. Phillips, P. A. Deverka, and D. A. Regier received travel support from Illumina to attend a past working group meeting. D. A. Marshall reports personal fees from Pfizer (board membership), OptumInsight (consultancy), Research Triangle Institute (consultancy), Roche (consultancy); personal fees and nonfinancial support from Novartis, Abbvie, and Janssen (all for consultancy); and grants/grants pending, outside the submitted work.
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