Abstract
Background
Objective
Methods
Results
Conclusions
Keywords
Introduction
World Health Organization. Public health measures during the influenza A (H1N1) 2009 pandemic: WHO Technical Consultation, Gammarth, Tunisia, 26-28 October 2010: Meeting Report 2011. Available from: http://apps.who.int/iris/handle/10665/70747. [Accessed March 10, 2014].
Methods
Data
Category | Pandemic interventions/public measures | Studies included in our review |
---|---|---|
Surveillance | Disease surveillance networks | Wang et al., 2012 [16] |
Planning | Emergency preparedness planning/drills | – |
Prevention behavior programs | – | |
Stockpiling | Stockpiling antiviral medicine | Carrasco et al., 2011 [20] |
Stockpiling low-efficacy vaccine | – | |
Trade and travel restriction | Travel restriction | – |
Border scanning | – | |
Close borders to people | – | |
Close borders to goods | – | |
Ground airplane travel | – | |
Tracking exposed people | Wang et al., 2012 [16] | |
Quarantine | Quarantine existing cases (household quarantine) | Perlroth et al., 2010 [22] |
Quarantine hospital | Dan et al., 2009 [23] | |
Antiviral | Antiviral treatment | Lee et al., 2010 [26] |
Lee et al., 2011 [25] | ||
Nagase et al., 2009 [27] | ||
Lavelle et al., 2012 [28] | ||
Perlroth et al., 2010 [22] | ||
Antiviral prophylaxis | Perlroth et al., 2010 [22] | |
Vaccination | Low-efficacy/seasonal/PCV vaccine distribution | Rubin et al., 2010 [38] |
High-efficacy vaccine (targeted to specific agent) production and distribution | Brouwers et al., 2009 [32] | |
Beigi et al., 2009 [35] | ||
Durbin et al., 2011 [33] | ||
Sanders et al., 2010 [36] | ||
Khazeni et al., 2009 [34] | ||
Prosser et al., 2011 [31] | ||
Wang et al., 2012 [16] | ||
Hospitalization | Observation | – |
Respiratory assistance | – | |
Social distancing | School closure | Brown et al., 2011 [40] |
Halder et al., 2011 [41] | ||
Perlroth et al., 2010 [22] | ||
Stay at home (self-isolation) | Perlroth et al., 2010 [22] | |
Business closure | – | |
Ban on public gathering | – | |
Public transportation ban | – | |
Hygiene recommendation | Facemask | Tracht et al., 2012 [49] |
Prevention behavior recommendation | – | |
Animal-to- human transmission | Animal culling | – |
Food restriction | – |
Study Selection
- 1.Peer-reviewed academic studies published in English.
- 2.The year of publication should be post-2009 and/or include an H1N1 pandemic scenario.
- 3.Studies that compute results from a societal point of view (i.e., studies taking the patient’s point of view were excluded).
- 4.Studies had to be a cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA), with results in dollars per case-averted and/or dollars per death-averted; a cost-utility analysis (CUA), with results in dollars per quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) lost or disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) lost; or a cost-benefit analysis (CBA), with results expressed as an intervention’s total saving or loss in dollar amounts [[7]].
- 5.Studies had to compare the results of an intervention to a base-case scenario of no intervention or a basic-care scenario.
Data Extraction and Analysis
- 1.Descriptive characteristics: categories of interventions, author(s) and publication years, geographic locations, population sizes, conclusions on the cost-effectiveness of interventions, and recommendations.
- 2.Parameters of the studies: types of evaluation (CUA, CEA, or CBA), epidemiological models, infectivity and severity, and willingness-to-pay thresholds.
- 3.Cost-utility results: incremental cost-effectiveness ratios against a base case (namely, for CUA studies) and converted ratios (for CEA and CBA studies), as explained hereafter.
Results
Nonmedical Interventions’ Lack of Economic Evaluation
Cost-Utility of Interventions in the Infectivity and Fatality Context

Surveillance Networks and Stockpiling of Antivirals
Tracking Exposed Persons, Households, and Hospital Quarantines
Antivirals
Vaccination
School Closure and Social Distancing
Discussion
Cost-effective interventions (<$45,000 QALY) for H1N1-like pandemic based on existing studies | |||
---|---|---|---|
High CFR >4% |
| ||
Medium CFR between 1% and 4% |
|
| |
Low CFR ≤1% |
| ||
Fatality/infectivity | Low Ro <1.2 | Medium Ro 1.2–2 | High Ro >2 |
Inefficient interventions (>$45,000 QALY) for H1N1-like pandemic | |||
High CFR >4% | |||
Medium CFR between 1% and 4% | |||
Low CFR ≤1% | Household quarantine | Household quarantine $198,200 | School closure $72,000 |
Antivirals treatment | Antivirals treatment $48,500 | ||
School closure | School closure $127,000 | ||
Fatality/infectivity | Low Ro <1.2 | Medium Ro 1.2–2 | High Ro >2 |
Costs and benefits usually accounted for vaccination | |
---|---|
Direct | |
Costs or benefits that are directly associated with influenza disease, e.g., medicines, hospital, machines, and employees | |
Costs | |
Vaccine purchase | All |
Vaccine administration | 16 , 31 , 32 , 33 |
Vaccine promotion | 31 , 33 |
Benefits | |
Cases avoided or days of sickness avoided (“burden of disease”) | All |
Death avoided (“burden of death”) | All |
Reductions in physician visits | 32 , 34 , 37 |
Reduction in antibiotics | 16 , 33 , 37 |
Reduction in laboratory testing | [33] |
Reduction in hospital costs | 16 , 32 , 33 , 34 , 36 |
Reduction in emergency department visits and intensive care unit | 33 , 34 , 36 |
Reduction in mechanical ventilation and extracorporeal membrane oxygenation | [36] |
Indirect | |
Costs or benefits for the overall society, in other areas than health, i.e., number of days out of work, GDP loss, missed education, missed opportunities | |
Costs | |
Patient time to receive vaccination | 31 , 34 |
Time to be with a child during the vaccination | |
Benefits | |
Reduction in lost work days of an adult with influenza | 16 , 32 , 33 , 37 |
Time taken off from work to take care of a child with influenza | 16 , 32 , 33 |
Externalities | |
Side effects from the intervention | |
Costs | |
Negative side effects related to vaccination—Guillain-Barre syndrome, anaphylactic reaction | 31 , 33 , 34 |
Benefits | |
Herd effect and protection for future pandemics | |
Discount rate | |
For costs or benefits covering more than 1 y, a discount rate is applied | |
Economists may want to choose the country-specific rate of return of long-term government bonds as the social discount rate for costs. WHO CHOICE uses a discount rate of 3% for the base case—a discount rate of 6% is also explored using sensitivity analysis [22] . |
Conclusions
Supplemental Materials
Supplementary material
References
- Challenges of global surveillance during an influenza pandemic.Public Health. 2011; 125: 247-256
- Unresolved issues in risk communication research: the case of the H1N1 pandemic (2009–2011).Influenza Other Respir Viruses. 2013; 7: 114-119
- Estimating age-specific cumulative incidence for the 2009 influenza pandemic: a meta-analysis of A(H1N1)pdm09 serological studies from 19 countries.Influenza Other Respir Viruses. 2013; 7: 872-886
World Health Organization. Public health measures during the influenza A (H1N1) 2009 pandemic: WHO Technical Consultation, Gammarth, Tunisia, 26-28 October 2010: Meeting Report 2011. Available from: http://apps.who.int/iris/handle/10665/70747. [Accessed March 10, 2014].
- Systematic review of economic evaluations of preparedness strategies and interventions against influenza pandemics.PLoS One. 2012; 7: e30333
- Standardizing scenarios to assess the need to respond to an influenza pandemic.Clin Infect Dis. 2015; 60: S1-S8
- Health Policy in a Globalising.World. Cambridge University Press, New York2001
- Principles and standards for benefit–cost analysis of public health preparedness and pandemic mitigation programs.in: Farrow S. Principles and Standards for Benefit–Cost Analysis. Edward Elgar Publishing, Northampton, MA, USA2013: 110-152
- Japan’s action to combat pandemic influenza (A/H1N1).J Jpn Med Assoc. 2010; : 1459-1463
- Assessing key model parameters for economic evaluation of pandemic influenza interventions: the data source matters.Influenza Other Respir Viruses. 2013; 7: 59-63
- Mitigation of pandemic influenza: review of cost-effectiveness studies.Exp Rev Pharmacoecon Outcomes Res. 2009; 9: 547-558
- Cost effectiveness analyses of influenza A (H1N1) vaccination programs: how accurate were they?.JIDI. 2014; 6: 26-36
- Attack rates of seasonal epidemics.Math Biosci. 2012; 235: 56-65
- Estimates of the reproduction number for seasonal, pandemic, and zoonotic influenza: a systematic review of the literature..BMC Infect Dis. 2014; 14: 480
- Clinical aspects of pandemic 2009 influenza A (H1N1) virus infection.N Engl J Med. 2010; 362: 1708-1719
- Is a mass prevention and control program for pandemic (H1N1) 2009 good value for money? Evidence from the Chinese Experience.Iran J Public Health. 2012; 41: 34-43
- Costing framework for international health regulations (2005).Emerg Infect Dis. 2012; 18: 1121-1127
- A new laboratory-based surveillance system (Respiratory DataMart System) for influenza and other respiratory viruses in England: results and experience from 2009 to 2012.Euro Surveill. 2014; 19
- We can have it all: improved surveillance outcomes and decreased personnel costs associated with electronic reportable disease surveillance, North Carolina, 2010.Am J Public Health. 2013; 103: 2292-2297
- Strategies for antiviral stockpiling for future influenza pandemics: a global epidemic-economic perspective.J Royal Soc Interface. 2011; 8: 1307-1313
- Neuraminidase inhibitors for preventing and treating influenza in adults and children.Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2014; 4 (CD008965)
- Health outcomes and costs of community mitigation strategies for an influenza pandemic in the United States.Clinical Infect Dis. 2010; 50: 165-174
- Cost-effectiveness analysis of hospital infection control response to an epidemic respiratory virus threat.Emerg Infect Dis. 2009; 15: 1909-1916
- Behavior of adult influenza patients during the 2009 pandemic after outpatient clinic presentations at a hospital in Tokyo, Japan.Trop Med Health. 2011; 39: 83-85
- Economic model for emergency use authorization of intravenous peramivir.Am J Manag Care. 2011; 17: e1-e9
- To test or to treat? An analysis of influenza testing and antiviral treatment strategies using economic computer modeling.PLoS One. 2010; 5: e11284
- Cost-effectiveness analysis of oseltamivir for influenza treatment considering the virus emerging resistant to the drug in Japan.Value Health. 2009; 12: S62-S65
- Cost-effectiveness of oseltamivir treatment for children with uncomplicated seasonal influenza.J Pediatr. 2012; 160 (67–73.e6)
- Effectiveness of neuraminidase inhibitors in reducing mortality in patients admitted to hospital with influenza A H1N1pdm09 virus infection: a meta-analysis of individual participant data.Lancet Respir Med. 2014; 2: 395-404
- Cost-effectiveness analysis of vaccination and self-isolation in case of H1N1.IEEE. 2010; : 2199-2210
- Cost-effectiveness of 2009 pandemic influenza A(H1N1) vaccination in the United States.PLoS One. 2011; 6: e22308
- Economic consequences to society of pandemic H1N1 influenza 2009—preliminary results for Sweden.Euro Surveill. 2009; 14: 19333
- A cost effectiveness analysis of the H1N1 vaccine strategy for Ontario, Canada.J Infect Dis Immun. 2011; 3: 40-49
- Effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of vaccination against pandemic (H1N1) 2009.Ann Intern Med. 2009; 151: 829-839
- Economic value of seasonal and pandemic influenza vaccination during pregnancy.Clin Infect Dis. 2009; 49: 1784-1792
- Is a mass immunization program for pandemic (H1N1) 2009 good value for money? Evidence from the Canadian experience.Vaccine. 2010; 28: 6210-6220
- Prevention and control of influenza: recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP).MMWR Recomm Rep. 2001; 50: 1-44
- Public health and economic impact of vaccination with 7-valent pneumococcal vaccine (PCV7) in the context of the annual influenza epidemic and a severe influenza pandemic.BMC Infect Dis. 2010; 10: 14
- Optimizing influenza vaccine distribution.Science. 2009; 325: 1705-1708
- Would school closure for the 2009 H1N1 influenza epidemic have been worth the cost? A computational simulation of Pennsylvania.BMC Public Health. 2011; 11: 353
- Cost-effective strategies for mitigating a future influenza pandemic with H1N1 2009 characteristics.PLoS One. 2011; 6: e22087
- The effects of school closures on influenza outbreaks and pandemics: systematic review of simulation studies.PLoS One. 2014; 9: e97297
- Attack rates assessment of the 2009 pandemic H1N1 influenza A in children and their contacts: a systematic review and meta-analysis.PLoS One. 2012; 7: e50228
- Clinical attack rate and presentation of pandemic H1N1 influenza versus seasonal influenza A and B in a pediatric cohort in Nicaragua.Clin Infect Dis. 2010; 50: 1462-1467
- Modeling control strategies for concurrent epidemics of seasonal and pandemic H1N1 influenza.Math Biosci Eng. 2011; 8: 141-170
- Spatial transmission of 2009 pandemic influenza in the US.PLoS Comput Biol. 2014; 10: e1003635
- Transmission characteristics of the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic: comparison of 8 southern hemisphere countries.PLoS Pathog. 2011; 7: e1002225
- Use IT to minimize impact of flu crisis.Comput Wkly. 2009; (6–6)
- Economic analysis of the use of facemasks during pandemic (H1N1) 2009.J Theor Biol. 2012; 300: 161-172
- Self-reported anticipated compliance with physician advice to stay home during pandemic (H1N1) 2009: results from the 2009 Queensland Social Survey.BMC Public Health. 2010; 10: 138
- Determination of preventive behaviors for pandemic influenza A/H1N1 based on protection motivation theory among female high school students in Isfahan.Iran J Educ Health Promot. 2014; 3: 7
- Making Choices in Health: WHO Guide to Cost-Effectiveness Analysis.World Health Organization, Geneva2003
- A history of influenza.J Appl Microbiol. 2001; 91: 572-579
- Long-time cycles of pandemic influenza.J Am Stat Assoc. 1922; 18: 446
Article info
Publication history
Identification
Copyright
User license
Elsevier user license |
Permitted
For non-commercial purposes:
- Read, print & download
- Text & data mine
- Translate the article
Not Permitted
- Reuse portions or extracts from the article in other works
- Redistribute or republish the final article
- Sell or re-use for commercial purposes
Elsevier's open access license policy